Information Transfer Economics

Actually, when you look at the monetary information equilibrium (IE) model I've been tracking since 2014 (almost four years now with on...

Apropos of nothing (well, Matthew Yglesias's new newsletter where he referenced this book from Kyle Harper on Ancient Rome ), I decided...

The dynamic information equilibrium CPI model doesn't just apply to the US. Here is the UK version (data is yellow, model is blue): ...

Christiano et al got much more attention than their paper deserved by putting in a few choice lines in it (Dilettantes! Ha!). Several exce...

Tony Yates has a  nice succinct post  from a couple of years ago about the "bottom up inflation fallacy" (brought up in my Twitte...

One of the interesting effects I noticed in looking at the unemployment rate in early recessions with the dynamic equilibrium model was wh...

New CPI data is out, and here is the "headline" CPI model last updated a couple months ago : I did change the error bar on...

I put up my macro and ensembles slides as a "Twitter talk" (Twalk™?) yesterday and it reminded me of something that has always b...

What if we combine an information equilibrium relationship A ⇄ B with a dynamic information equilibrium description of the inputs A and B...

What follows is speculative, but it is also really cool. A tweet about how the unemployment rate would be higher if labor force participat...