IT model forecast update for Japan

Here is an update of the data versus the forecast models for Japan. I am uncertain about how the BoJ arrived at their numbers for the annual inflation rates, so I opted for a agnostic approach that estimated the annual inflation rate using a linear model and took standard errors (2-sigma). Here is the result for core CPI inflation as was shown here and also a longer term version:

And here is my traditional format (for the CPI level forecast):