There's nothing particularly exciting about this prediction, but I am updating it because I put it out there. New data is in black -- since I was unable to find seasonally adjusted data (and I still haven't bothered to build a filter myself) I tried to remove the seasonal adjustment by a LOESS filter. It's still pretty messy.
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Also, try to avoid the use of dollar signs as they interfere with my setup of mathjax. I left it set up that way because I think this is funny for an economics blog. You can use € or £ instead.
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